Live Update
The Week 11 college football slate features a pivotal Big 12 matchup between the Colorado Buffaloes and the West Virginia Mountaineers on Saturday, November 8, 2025, at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown. Both teams enter with identical 3–6 records and are fighting to keep their postseason hopes alive.
According to SportsLine’s computer simulation model, which runs 10,000 simulations of every FBS game, West Virginia is favored to win and cover the spread. The Mountaineers opened as 6.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set around 53.5 points.
The model projects a tight contest, leaning Under on total points with a combined score near 52. Meanwhile, analysts from Covers.com and Action Network expect a higher-scoring matchup, citing both teams’ defensive struggles.
Colorado Outlook:
The Buffaloes have endured a turbulent season under coach Deion Sanders, highlighted by defensive lapses and inconsistent quarterback play. Freshman Julian Lewis has shown flashes of potential but continues to face pressure behind a shaky offensive line. Colorado has lost four straight games on the road, allowing an average of 34 points per contest.
West Virginia Outlook:
The Mountaineers have quietly improved in recent weeks, thanks to a more balanced offensive attack. Their ground game, led by a deep rotation of backs, has taken pressure off their quarterback and allowed them to control tempo. Playing at home gives West Virginia an additional boost as they look to rebound from earlier Big 12 losses.
Model Prediction:
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Final Score: West Virginia 27, Colorado 24
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Spread Pick: West Virginia -6.5
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Total Pick: Lean Under 53.5
The simulation gives West Virginia nearly a 60% chance to cover the spread, while the Under cashes in more than half the time.
With bowl eligibility slipping away, both programs have plenty to prove in Week 11. Expect a hard-fought matchup where home-field advantage and execution in the red zone could decide the outcome.
Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and will be televised nationally on FOX Sports.